Who will be the next SF D2 Supervisor?
➕
Plus
5
Ṁ2848
Feb 2
29%
Michela Alioto-Pier
15%
Eileen Feinstein Mariano
11%
Conor Johnston
10%
Eric Kingsbury
9%
Stephen Sherrill
6%
Other
5%
Kat Anderson
3%
Lily Ho
3%
Carrie Barnes
2%
Armand Domalewski
2%
London Breed
1.9%
Mark Farrell
1.4%
Kevin Shelley

The current district 2 supervisor Catherine Stefani has been elected to the state assembly. Stefani will need to resign from her supervisor seat in December, allowing Mayor London Breed to appoint her replacement, according to https://sfstandard.com/2024/11/05/sf-election-2024-ad19-catherine-stefani-david-lee/

I am not sure which potential appointees meet residency or other requirements, or indeed who the most likely potential appointees are, so I will start with Breed (who likely doesn't live in the district, but always could have moved in anticipation) and living predecessors to Stefani as supervisor. Bet against those who don't make sense, add more options that do!

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Article speculating about Stephen Sherrill who like Kingsbury I hadn't heard of before (my fault; I only lightly follow SF politics) due to both Breed and Sherrill having connections to Michael Bloomberg https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/michael-bloomberg-support-influence-london-breed-19942663.php

Sherrill has tweeted very little and not since September https://x.com/scsherrill but there is a quote from him in the above article.

bought Ṁ25 YES

I'd never heard of Eric Kingsbury, just entered as an option because appeared in the SF Standard article below. Tweeted (or whatever that is called) for the first time since September https://x.com/ericmkingsbury/status/1861588886667042977 and noticing he was Breed's campaign manager (the article did say that, I didn't really notice) and apparently president of the D2 democratic club. Seems like a solid and plausible choice for Breed appointment.

Arbitrage

Added Stephen Sherrill based on SF Standard article below and Carrie Barnes based on https://x.com/TheMarinaTimes/status/1860070122997842431

Breed’s rumored choices for the supervisor position have circulated for months. In addition to Johnston, they include her manager of state and federal affairs, Eileen Mariano, granddaughter of the late Sen. Dianne Feinstein; former Supervisor Michela Alioto-Pier; campaign manager Eric Kingsbury; and Stephen Sherrill, director of the Mayor’s Office of Innovation.

https://sfstandard.com/2024/11/22/mayor-breed-may-lob-a-political-grenade-into-city-hall-on-her-way-out/

I did not specify in the description, but upon finally noticing there's a rating mechanism for resolution of questions, ie some kind of accountability, I'm going to go ahead and trade in this one and other questions I created which I haven't said I wouldn't trade in.

Added names mentioned in https://x.com/Noahpinion/status/1856120277400510623 and screenshotted article.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules