RFK jr will take more votes from Biden than from Trump
Plus
16
Ṁ1468Nov 21
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This bet requires that RFK jr gets 5% of the popular vote in the November, 2024 general election.
Provided that RFK jr gets 5% of the vote, this bet:
Resolves to YES if exit polling and other information indicates that most of his votes came from Biden.
Resolves to NO if exit polling and other information indicates that most of his votes came from Trump.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@FakeMoney Agreed that it will be difficult to find great data, but I hope to find good data: exit polls and other info.
Related questions
Related questions
What percentage (%) of the pop. vote will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) receive during the 2024 presidential election?
1% chance
If RFK Jr. runs as an independent, who will it hurt more [resolves to manifold poll]
Will RFK Jr. get any electoral college votes?
2% chance
Will RFK Jr. get above 5% in the 2024 Presidential election?
1% chance
Will RFK jr get any votes from democrats for his nomination to HHS?
41% chance
How much of the popular vote will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will RFK Jr. win at least 1 state elector in the US 2024 Presidential Election
3% chance
Will RFK Jr win more than 3% of the vote in any state in the 2024 Presidential Election?
5% chance
How much % of the popular vote will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win in the 2024 US presidential election?
What will RFK's vote share be in the 2024 election?