Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
Plus
36
Ṁ5256Jan 1
98.8%
emmett shear
98.1%
Dwarkesh Patel
11%
10%
Bryan Caplan
9%
Alex Tabarrok
9%
Lex Fridman
9%
Destiny
9%
Nate Silver
7%
jasontheween
6%
Tyler Cowen
5%
Martin Shkreli
4%
Grimes
4%
Vitalik Buterin
4%
Caroline Ellison
4%
Elon Musk
2%
Beff Jezos
2%
SBF
1.9%
Nassim Taleb
1%
Jimmy Carter
Which public figures/famous people/internet microcelebrities will start actively betting on Manifold in 2024?
PLEASE NOTE: I've learned my lesson from past markets: it's no fun when they sign up, create an account, place a single bet, and never sign in again: any account needs have reached 2000 mana in trading volume OR twenty trades by the end of the year to count.
Feel free to add existing accounts of famous people who haven't met the activity threshold, e.g. Lex Fridman.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
What kinds of markets/posts will be available on Manifold on 2025-01-01?
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
69% chance
Who will be the top trader on Manifold at the end of 2024?
Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?
57% chance
What percentage of days will I trade on Manifold in 2024?
75% chance
Which Manifold User will create the most markets in 2024?
Will I be active on Manifold Markets on Dec 31, 2024?
66% chance
Who will be the top all-time trader on the Manifold leaderboard at end of November 2024?
Who will be hired by Manifold before 2025?
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
71% chance