In 2024, Senator Scott Wiener introduced SB-1047, which was vetoed by the governor on Sep 29.
On Jan 7 2025, he came back with what seems like an intent bill (SB 53), which might get amended into an actual bill later this year.
If that same bill, with the same number (53) becomes law by the end of this legislative session, then this question will resolve yes.
This does not resolve yes if for some reason they introduce a new bill instead of amending this one.
Marking Oct 1st 2025 as resolution date as this would be the deadline for the governor to Veto again this year. Will resolve earlier when there is the actual result.
1,000
3.00@Bayesian Not sure if this is what you mean, but I will forever be confused about why sharps thought GPT-5 was a dramatic bear signal for AI.
@AdamK LOL no I went through markets that havent been traded on much and have ok liquidity and ask gpt5 to evaluate their probability by searching the web. It told me p(yes) is 25%, which i dismissed but i bet no