When will an AI lab report 50% or better result on ZeroBench?
2
Ṁ4052033
17%
2025
20%
2026
24%
2027
21%
2028
21%
2029
24%
2030
24%
2031
20%
2032
28%
2033 or later
ZeroBench is a difficult visual benchmark for multi-modal models
https://zerobench.github.io/
This market is about the main questions, pass@1.
Update 2025-08-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If the 50%+ pass@1 on ZeroBench's main questions is reported in a given year, only that year resolves to YES; all other years resolve to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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