Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?
Plus
27
Ṁ9222030
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics
(all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will I lose 20+ lbs after taking semaglutide for 3 months?
96% chance
Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030?
49% chance
Will Ozempic / semaglutide be FDA-approved for Alzheimer's before 2030?
58% chance
Will medicare cover semaglutide (or an alternative) in 2030?
85% chance
Before 2033, will semaglutide be shown to improve lifespan, when prescribed to overweight people?
86% chance
Will Semaglutide cost less than $1000 per year before 2030?
79% chance
Will Semaglutide cost less than $1000 per year before 2031?
79% chance
The FDA will warn about overuse or misuse of semaglutide (Ozempic, Wegovy and Rybelsus) before the end of 2024.
21% chance
What fraction of US adults will regularly take GLP-1 drugs in 2030?
Will Matt Kaeberlein start taking semaglutide/ozempic by 2030?
41% chance