Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ942026
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2026?
56% chance
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by December 20 2024?
46% chance
Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2025?
42% chance
Will Iran reach the 'weapons-grade' uranium enrichment threshold before 2025?
43% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
24% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
26% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Iran blockade the Strait of Hormuz before Israel's invasion of the Gaza Strip ends?
14% chance