Will o4 be released before Jun 2025?
Basic
13
Ṁ710
Jun 3
31%
chance

Resolves as YES if o4 is released before June 1st 2025.

In order to qualify as released in the context of this question, o4 must either be accessible to any consumer willing to pay, or free to access for anyone, in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy before the specified date.

  • Update 2025-04-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification:

    • Only the o4 full version qualifies as a valid release.

    • The o4 mini version does not meet the release criteria.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ25 NO

Assuming that o4-mini doesn't count, just o4 full?

@bens yeah o4 full, not o4 mini

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules