George Soros describes this phenomenon called reflexivity, where markets affect the probabilities of the outcomes they are trying to predict it. Today Vivek Ramaswamy is ahead of Ron DeSantis on PredictIt and one can wonder if people predicting one candidate has better chances could create a Self-fulfilling prophecy.

This market resolves to YES if a mainstream media outlet (WaPo, NYT, The Economist, WSJ, FT, Bloomberg...) run a story on how republican or Democrat primary voters relied on prediction markets to choose a candidate. Sport betting apps would also count. In other words: that the tail wagged the dog.

I'll hold what mainstream media outlet counts at a high standard.

This market resolves to NO by election day.