How many classical games will be needed to decide the World Chess Championship 2024 (the Ding Liren - Gukesh D match)
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12
Ṁ9296Dec 16
0.9%
Decided after 8 (or fewer) games
1%
Decided after 9 games
4%
Decided after 10 games
7%
Decided after 11 games
16%
Decided after 12 games
22%
Decided after 13 games
25%
Decided after 14 games
24%
Tiebreaks needed
The match is best out of 14 games, which means that it finishes as soon as one of the players reaches 7.5, which is possible in 8 games. It's also possible (albeit unlikely) that one of the players forfeits the match in even fewer games
If tied after 14 games (7-7), the match will be decided in tiebreaks
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2024
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Pre-registering my take here so I look like a genius or idiot (but most likely genius) : Gukesh wins 7.5-3.5 by drawing or winning game 11. Ding is subsequently sentenced to 5 years hard labor in a Chinese gulag to strengthen his character
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