Who will win the 2028 Republican primary?
Who will win the 2028 Republican primary?
Plus
62
Ṁ87022028
66%
Other
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
5%
Donald Trump
4%
Ron de Santis
4%
Nikki Haley
3%
Perry Johnson
3%
Francis Suarez
3%
Chris Christie
3%
Will Hurd
3%
Asa
3%
Larry Elder
3%
Doug Burgum
3%
Mike Pence
2%
Tim Scott
If there’s not gonna be a 2028 Republican primary, all money will be returned with no winnings. Nobody will lose money as well.
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@Liam2024Election There probably will be, but just in case the Republican primaries are cancelled (like Trump suggested doing this time around) I would like to know what happens here.
sold Ṁ1 NO1y
@Liam2024Election OK, thanks. I don't want to trade a long term market that ends up N/A though.
@HarrisonNathan Yea understandable, maybe I’d even make it „No“ but I don’t know if that’d be unfair.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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