Will Lithium specifically be identified as a contaminant responsible for the modern obesity crisis?
➕
Plus
61
Ṁ5118
Apr 10
4%
chance
Related to this market: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-the-contaminant-hypothesis-of Same question, but additionally LITHIUM must specifically be identified as a contaminant responsible for causing the observed obesity problems. Close date updated to 2025-04-09 11:59 pm
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7iAABhWpcGeP5e6SB/it-s-probably-not-lithium presents an interesting review of this hypothesis and in particular SMTM's arguments on it.
Wouldn’t make the top 100 (if anything there is less lithium than previously) Mostly about soy, seed oils, and plastics (inflammatory dysfunction), weapons-grade food engineering (no one ever got fat on milk and bread), etc.
predictedYES
Whoa big spender! Know something we don’t?
> Same question, but additionally LITHIUM must specifically be identified as a contaminant responsible for causing the observed obesity problems. Is there any good reason for suspecting that specifically?
No whoops
Is this meant to close in 6 days?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules