What MLB team will finish the 2025 regular season with the highest positive run differential?
5
Ṁ114
Sep 30
9%
Chicago Cubs (+47 as of 4/30/2025)
15%
New York Mets (+54 as of 4/30/2025)
7%
New York Yankees (+52 as of 4/30/2025)
7%
Detroit Tigers (+40 as of 4/30/2025)
6%
San Diego Padres (+28 as of 4/30/2025)
4%
Two or more teams tie
52%
Other

Reference Link: https://www.mlb.com/standings/

For anyone who does not follow baseball, MLB tracks the total number of runs scored minus the total number of runs allowed as the Run Differential team stat, which also provides a measure known as Pythagorean W/L, where Run Differential is used to calculate expected wins and losses based on runs scored vs runs allowed.

Thus far I've only used division leaders with high run differentials leading into the final week of April. The Dodgers are only 8 runs above zero, and while I'm not saying the AL West sucks, they, uh, they don't have a collective run differential as a division to write home about.

Feel free to add other teams if you like; I will select only the team at the very top or, in the event of a tie the "two or more teams" option I've added in the wins markets. Cheers!

  • Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the word 'positive' has been added to the market question, specifying the resolution criteria:

    • The winning team must have a positive run differential (greater than zero).

    • A team with a negative run differential will not be considered the winner, even if its run differential is technically the 'highest' overall (e.g., if all teams were to finish with negative run differentials). This is to prevent 'gotcha' resolutions.

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Clarification 5/11/2025: Added the word “positive” to the original question. Sorry, no “gotcha” resolutions will be had for teams that give up football scores at the end of this season.

Look, I know the Rockies are on track to best (or worst?) last season’s White Sox. But instead of profiting from it, we should do what we do to every team that performs that poorly: point and laugh, and then wait for the next epitome of suck.

Following the end of April, here are the MLB teams leading in run differential:

Mets +54

Yankees +52

Cubs +47

Tigers +40

@LBeesley I will try to keep the options on this market updated monthly. Doubt I can remember to do it weekly

Well goodness. Mets just lumbered through a +14 in a single day.

https://www.espn.com/mlb/boxscore/_/gameId/401695331

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