
Opinion market: Russia or Ukraine
Basic
7
Ṁ932050
Russia50%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is meant to track the approvement by Manifold-community of recent actions of both sides in real time.
This market resolves to 50% when the peace is reached (might not be in our lifetime).
Evaluate, whether moving the market/showing your opinion is worth for you spending the mana.
Any statements in the comments are likely to be hidden by me. This is not the place to prove anything, show your opinion through trading only.
This is not meant to be a poll / to represent proportions of people. It is meant to grasp how valuable people think their opinion is and finding equilibrium of many such opinions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Ukraine warcasting megamarket
What will The Economist Democracy Index of Ukraine be in 2024?
Ukraine Presidential election
Who will win the Russia-Ukraine War?
Opinion market: Israel or Palestine
By 2025 Jun, we will think "Ukraine is still taking significant ground, or has won" [Resolves to Poll]
14% chance
will Russia win the war in Ukraine
42% chance
Ukraine democracy index 2028
5.1
Who will win the war in Ukraine?
Belarus, Russia, Ukraine, Kazahstan - Entangled market.
41% chance