Opinion market: Israel or Palestine
Basic
2
Ṁ102100
Palestine55%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is meant to track the approvement by Manifold-community of recent actions of both sides in real time.
This market resolves to 50% when the peace is reached (might not be in our lifetime).
Evaluate, whether moving the market/showing your opinion is worth for you spending the mana.
Any statements in the comments are likely to be hidden by me. This is not the place to prove anything, show your opinion through trading only.
This is not meant to be a poll / to represent proportions of people. It is meant to grasp how valuable people think their opinion is and finding equilibrium of many such opinions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Net sympathy for Israelis vs Palestinians, 2025?
How will American attitudes towards Israel in general change, according to polling, at the end of the Israel-Gaza war?
Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2024 (according to gallop)?
33% chance
Opinion market: Russia or Ukraine
By how much will the sympathies of the US public about the Israel-Palestinian conflict shift by the end of 2024?
🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035?
Israel
50% chance
Will Israel be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
42% chance
🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What is the most likely future of Israel/Palestine: a one-state or two-state solution?
After the Israel-Hamas war is over, would the average Israeli believe it was a mistake?
11% chance