If RFK Jr is confirmed HHS Secretary, Marin kindergarten vaccination rate in 2026-2027
Premium
3
Ṁ4252027
19%
Below 94%
18%
94%-95.49%
23%
95.5%-96.49%
23%
96.5%-97.49%
18%
97.5% or above
In 2022, the share of Marin County public school kindergarten students with all vaccinations was 96.6%, per the statewide assessment available here: https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID/DCDC/CDPH%20Document%20Library/Immunization/2021-22KindergartenSummaryReport.pdf
If RFK is confirmed HHS for any length of time, will this number be higher or lower for the report covering the 2026-2027 school year? We will use the same report, if the report is not available, resolves N/A.
If no vaccinations are required for public school students, or measurement becomes impossible, resolves N/A.
Resolves N/A if RFK is not confirmed as HHS.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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