Wich cabinet members of the new german goverment will govern until the next election?

Ṁ895

2028

15%

Alexander Dobrindt

13%

Johann Wadephul

12%

Lars Klingbeil

11%

Thorsten Frei

Katherina Reiche

Karin Prien

Friedrich Merz

Boris Pistorius

Other

Dorothee Bär

Option resolves yes if minister/chancellor is still in place until the next election. If the next election is an early one or regular is irrelevant.

The reason why the minister/chancellor leaves office is also irrelevant.

Example for the last cabinet:

Habeck or Lauterbach would have resolved yes, even though an early election took place.

Lindner or Lambrecht would have resolved no, because they were fired/left office before the election.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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You are completely right, my mistake. 500 M down the drain.

@KarlLutz Suggestion: switch the market to "If any cabinet members of the new German government stop governing before the next election, which will be first?"

@KarlLutz You can also cancel the market (resolving N/A) which returns the 500 mana

bought Ṁ60 YES

I think you picked the wrong market type. This should be multiple choice - independent, not dependent.

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