Will Elon be able to send humans to Mars before 2050
➕
Plus
19
Ṁ729
2050
51%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Since the creator deleted their account and this market has more than a couple traders, I'm going to reopen it to let people keep trading. This question will be managed and resolved by the mod team; ping me or another mod as needed.

Some details:

  • "Elon" will mean SpaceX or another Elon Musk founded / owned company, whether or not Elon is still in charge or alive.

  • "Be able to" will be interpreted as "actually sends at least one".

  • By 2050 will mean launch before 2050. (Since the title is about "send to".)

  • Mars will include surface landing, Mars orbit, or Mars flyby.

  • The people in question must be alive and well enough to make radio contact with Earth after the landing, orbital insertion, or flyby in question.

Let me know if any of those clarifications seem unreasonable!

predictedYES

Care to elaborate on that resolution?

predictedYES

@HomesickAlien looks like the account was deleted

predictedYES

@EstMtz Right… brilliant

Resolves this january...

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules