How many G20 nations will implement capital controls or currency restrictions by July 2025?

Ṁ104

Jul 31

29%

18%

1-2

18%

3-4

18%

5-6

16%

This market resolves to the number of G20 nations that implement new capital controls or currency restrictions between market creation and July 1, 2025. These measures must be officially announced and implemented by the government or central bank of the country.

Qualifying measures include:

Restrictions on currency conversion or foreign exchange transactions
Limits on capital outflows or repatriation
Mandatory surrender requirements for export earnings
Fixed or managed exchange rates (newly implemented, not existing ones)
Other similar measures that significantly restrict the free flow of currency

The G20 nations are: Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, and the European Union.

Sources for resolution will include official government announcements, IMF reports, and reputable financial news sources.

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

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