Will the mostly self-sufficient Moon colony exist by 2100?
Will the mostly self-sufficient Moon colony exist by 2100?
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To count as self-sufficient it should be able to survive for at least other 20 years even in case of import from Earth stopping completely. The colony should have human inhabitants.
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Mars isn't that much harder to get to and has so much better conditions it's not even funny, including free carbon and oxygen, great book about it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Case_for_Mars
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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