
Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?
Basic
9
Ṁ2622026
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
China here meaning either the state or a Chinese company.
Stage must land under its own power, without the use of parachutes.
Comment clarification: it must be the first stage of an orbital rocket, and the upper most stage of that rocket must achieve orbit on the same launch. It does not need to deliver a payload to orbit.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Successful 'hop' test from Chinese company iSpace
Related questions
Related questions
Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
78% chance
Non-SpaceX propulsive first stage landing by 2025?
29% chance
Will anyone propulsively land an orbital-class rocket booster within a decade of SpaceX?
45% chance
Will China launch and operate a fully reusable spacecraft by 2030?
58% chance
Will China complete a successful manned mission to the lunar surface by the end of 2026?
8% chance
Non-SpaceX reusable first stage by 2025?
80% chance
Will China land someone on the moon on this year?
Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027?
16% chance
Will China land men on the moon before the USA?
35% chance
Will a rocket launched from Taiwan reach orbit before the end of 2030?
10% chance