Which countries will the UK Prime Minister visit in 2025?

Plus

Ṁ13k

Dec 31

95%

The Netherlands

93%

Canada

93%

South Africa

86%

Denmark

85%

Finland

80%

Ireland

74%

Brazil

73%

Germany

66%

Luxembourg

58%

India

37%

Switzerland

33%

Japan

31%

Saudi Arabia

31%

Singapore

31%

Indonesia

31%

UAE

31%

Nigeria

31%

Australia

31%

Sweden

31%

Spain

Resolves to all correct answers

Please add countries

Please don't add regions or descriptors that cover multiple countries

Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - Resolution is based on the holder of the office, not specific individuals. (AI summary of creator comment)

Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - A visit counts only if there is evidence that the Prime Minister leaves the airport. (AI summary of creator comment)

Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - If the PM sits inside the plane on the tarmac while it refuels, it would not resolve YES. (AI summary of creator comment)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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bought Ṁ835 YES

Norway, Italy and Vatican City also resolve YES: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_international_prime_ministerial_trips_made_by_Keir_Starmer#2025

bought Ṁ532 YES

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer Resolves YES: https://news.sky.com/story/sir-keir-starmer-in-albania-to-tackle-revolving-door-of-migration-13367900

bought Ṁ474 YES

@JoshuaWilkes Resolves YES: https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/liveblog/2025/2/27/trump-live-news-uks-starmer-visits-white-house-for-ukraine-defence-talks

opened a Ṁ2,000 YES at 99.0% order

Poland and Belgium can resolve YES.

bought Ṁ504 YES

@lisamarsh As can France.

bought Ṁ10 NO

Does italy include Vatican state?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen no, nor does it include San Marino

bought Ṁ50 NO

Do transit stops count as 'visiting' for the purposes of this market?

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer as long as there is evidence that the PM leaves the airport

If the PM sits inside the plane on the tarmac while it refuels it would not resolve YES

bought Ṁ50 YES

Confirming that it's the person who is Prime Minister of the UK that counts, not Sir Keir Starmer (the current holder of the role)?

That is to say:

Sir Keir leaves the role, but his replacement goes to Brazil - Resolves YES.

Sir Keir leaves the role, then goes to Latvia for a holiday - does not resolve YES.

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer yes, it's the holder of the office, not a particular individual

So as not to be a massive bellend (by buying the correct answers and then throwing a tantrum when the market changes) I'm going to point out that 2024 has already finished...

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer good catch!

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