Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040? | Manifold

Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?

Basic

16

Ṁ983

2040

21%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

N/A if china doesn't invade taiwan.
compare to

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇨🇳 China

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

No, but chemical weapons will be used.

Related questions

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Will any city get nuked before 2040?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will Shanghai be nuked in 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?

Related questions

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will any city get nuked before 2040?

Will Shanghai be nuked in 2025?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?

If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules