Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040? | Manifold

Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?

Basic

15

Ṁ980

2040

19%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

N/A if china doesn't invade taiwan.
compare to

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No, but chemical weapons will be used.

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