Will a member of US congress physically attack another member of congress before 2026?
Basic
7
Ṁ1702026
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve YES based on media reports of a member of the United States Congress physically hitting (e.g. smacking, punching, shoving) another member of the US Congress with their body or any other object. Former members of congress or aides would not count. An attempt to hit another member that is thwarted before physical contact is made would also not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Would the incident where Kevin McCarthy allegedly elbowed Tim Burchett resolve as a yes?
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tim-burchett-kevin-mccarthy-elbow-in-kidneys/
@SimonWentzell Yes. The reporter Claudia Grisales said that Tim Burchett "stumbled forward," i.e. Kevin McCarthy made contact. It's unclear if it was an accident, but I'm going to defer to the victim's interpretation.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?
40% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2026?
77% chance
Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before March 2025?
23% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2025?
83% chance
Will another member of the U.S Congress be expelled before 2030?
55% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2025?
82% chance
Will any current member of Congress leave their party before 2026.
76% chance
Will the president during the 2024-2028 term be impeached by at least one body of congress during his term?
37% chance
Will a member of United States House of Representatives die in 2025?
65% chance
In 2025, will any member of U.S. Congress change their party affiliation?
52% chance