Will The Time Person of The Year be a repeat winner from prior years in 2025
Basic
6
Ṁ1412026
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is excluding all unnamed groups of people who won in the past unless they are exactly the same.
I.e. if the winner is American women it would resolve yes but if an American women (Jennifer Lawrence) wins it will resolve no.
Here is the list excluded:
The American fighting-man / The American soldier (1950 and 2003)
The Hungarian freedom fighter (1956)
U.S. scientists (1960)
The Inheritor (1966)
Middle Americans (1969)
American women (1975)
You (2006)
The Protester (2011)
Ebola fighters (2014)
The Silence Breakers (2017)
The Guardians (2018)
If the winner is an unnamed list of people it will resolve as N/A
I will add the 2024 winner if it is an unnamed group to the list of excluded answers
I will abstain from betting in this market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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