Will ARKK, a speculative innovation ETF, outperform S&P500 over the next 5 years?
Basic
9
Ṁ2202027
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Betting on whether ARKK, a speculative innovation ETF focused on Robotics, Genomics, Next Generation Internet, FinTech, and AI, will Outperform the S&P500 from 4/1/2022 - 4/1/2027
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@JimKjelland I think this should be reopened with a close date equal to the end of the window in question.
@EvanDaniel The point for me was to predict 5 years into the future, not to track constantly updating odds as things evolve, if that makes sense.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 5% in one day in 2024?
6% chance
Will S&P500 grow more than 100% within any period which is no longer that 365 days before 2035?
43% chance
Will the S&P500 grow faster than inflation between 2023-2025?
81% chance
Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 20% over 2024?
84% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in Q4 2024?
30% chance
[ACX 2024] Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?
97% chance
Will S&P500 grow more than 100% within any period which is no longer than 365 days before 2030?
19% chance
Will S&P 500 increase by over 2% on any day in Nov 2024?
99% chance
Will the S&P 500 offer a REAL CAGR greater than 8% from 2024 until 2050?
49% chance
Will the S&P500 outperform the total world stock market over the next 50 years?
58% chance