Will there be an AI data center powered by new nuclear power by 2030?
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29
Ṁ3117
2030
72%
chance

This only resolves yes if there's a news article saying that a plant was planned to start because of AI demand - anything that was already scheduled before the LLM boom cannot count.

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new-new or do reopened plants count?

@JoshYou i think reopening plants that were understood to be decomissioned will still count as new

@DrGlebTsipursky yes, if TMI Unit 1 comes online, I will count that as “new”

sold Ṁ44 NO

@JesWolfe you should put this in the description because this is very very different from an entirely new plant.

@Philip3773733 if Three Mile has been decommissioned for my entire lifetime, and it comes back online, there is no meaningful sense in which that is “the same” plant, is there?

@Philip3773733 oh. hmmm. well, in the unlikely event that this actually happens I will make a judgement call

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