Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next? | Manifold

Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?

Plus

17

Ṁ3337

2030

2%

John Roberts

42%

Clarence Thomas

33%

Samuel Alito

16%

Sonia Sotomayor

2%

Elena Kagan

1.2%

Neil Gorsuch

1.1%

Brett Kavanaugh

1.3%

Amy Coney Barrett

1.1%

Ketanji Brown Jackson

Resolves when any Supreme Court Justice retires or dies while serving.

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How is the resolution affected in the following edge cases?

I. Justice impeached or otherwise removed by means not including retirement/death.

II. Expansion of the court to include new justices

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