Will Elon Musk release a phone before 2026?
Plus
18
Ṁ14102025
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will a smartphone device be released under any brand owned or created by Elon Musk?
Resolves YES if a smartphone device is launched under any of the following brands:
SpaceX/Starlink
Tesla
X/Twitter
xAI
Neuralink
Resolves YES if Musk creates or acquires a company and a smartphone is released under that brand.
Things that are not sufficient to resolve YES
A smartphone device launched under a brand previously associated with Musk (e.g., PayPal or OpenAI) but no longer under his control
A third-party license deal with a Musk brand. For example, Samsung releasing an "X/Twitter" phone would not qualify
In the case that affilliation with Musk is not clear, credible reporting will be used to determine the resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk unveil a cell phone project in development by the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will Elon Musk attempt to sell Twitter before 2025?
6% chance
Will Apple release a foldable phone before 2028?
55% chance
Elon Musk's 2024: What Will He Do Next?
Apple to release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
41% chance
Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?
21% chance
Will I have a new phone by the end of 2024?
35% chance
Will Elon officially announce a flying car by the end of 2026?
21% chance
Will Apple announce a foldable phone or tablet before 2027?
33% chance
Will Elon's "Grok phone" be announced in 2024?
10% chance