
Will Donald Trump be alive at the end of his term?
Basic
21
Ṁ5282029
68%
Yes
20%
No, dies of natural causes
11%
No, dies from assassination
0.6%
No, dies of other causes
0.6%
Will Donald Trump Sr. be alive at the 2029 inauguration? He is currently 78 and obese, and hasn’t released his medical records, which could be a bad sign.
This should be a straightforward market to resolve, but I won’t bet in it.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump finish his second term?
74% chance
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
27% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2025?
96% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2025?
96% chance
Will Donald Trump die during his term?
20% chance
Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)?
Will donald trump survive one year as president?
87% chance
Will Donald Trump live till the end of 2028?
80% chance
Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
78% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2040?
15% chance