Will Elon Musk die before 75% of the US has self driving cars
Plus
13
Ṁ5922060
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I’m going to use the best data source available for self driving cars. Cars count as self driving if it can do an hour long commute going on both an highway and in the city. ( I may update this definition to stay within the spirit of the market)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@JamesF To clarify, you'd say that Waymo in California/Arizona would qualify if they could go on highways then?
bought Ṁ10 NO from 44% to 43%
Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
38% chance
Will at least half of new cars sold in 2038 in the US be fully autonomous?
47% chance
Will Elon be able to send humans to Mars before 2050
51% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla before 2030?
51% chance
Will Elon Musk live to be 100 years old?
21% chance
Will Elon Musk be alive through the end of 2050?
60% chance
Will Elon Musk die before Peter Thiel?
56% chance
Will Elon Musk control 25%+ of the voting control of Tesla by 2028?
44% chance
Will Elon Musk be alive through the end of 2060?
51% chance
Will Elon Musk be alive through the end of 2040?
71% chance