Which markets are more accurate? | Manifold

Which markets are more accurate?

5

Never closes

Manifold

Polymarket

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Prediction Markets General Discussion

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

It depends.

@SemioticRivalry False dichotomies only, please

Related questions

Which one is the most enjoyable prediction market? (2025)

Which one is the most accurate prediction market? (2024)

Is Manifold better-calibrated than financial markets on questions about future asset prices?

Which numeric market type do you prefer?

Do you trade on markets based on the market value or your expectations?

Are prediction markets more accurate than polls?

Will Manifold be more accurate than Polymarket in forecasting the 2024 election?

Which function of predictive markets is most valuable long term?

Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?

Will this market?

Related questions

Which one is the most enjoyable prediction market? (2025)

Are prediction markets more accurate than polls?

Which one is the most accurate prediction market? (2024)

Will Manifold be more accurate than Polymarket in forecasting the 2024 election?

Is Manifold better-calibrated than financial markets on questions about future asset prices?

Which function of predictive markets is most valuable long term?

Which numeric market type do you prefer?

Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?

Do you trade on markets based on the market value or your expectations?

Will this market?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules