
Conditional on Trump being elected, how many H1B recipients will be admitted in the USA in 2026?
Premium
3
Ṁ22172027
418,448
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on numbers from the Department of Homeland Security’s Office of Immigration Statistics (or their successor).
If the H1B changes name, I'll resolve based on the name of a successor, ie a temporary visa for guest workers in specialty occupations.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins in 2024, which colleges will the US automatically provide green cards to graduates of, by the end of 2025?
If Trump is elected President in 2024, how many unemployed persons per job opening will the US have a year later?
Will the H1B visa cap be raised (above 85000) for fiscal year 2026?
36% chance
Will Trump significantly expand high-skill immigration by the end of 2026?
29% chance
Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?
47% chance
Will the US admit more than 2 million immigrants in any year before 2025?
6% chance
Will the H1B visa cap be raised (above 85000) for fiscal year 2027?
50% chance
Will the H1B visa cap be raised (above 85000) for fiscal year 2028?
53% chance
H-1B selection becomes wage-based rather than lottery-based by January 2027
39% chance
Will high skill immigration to the USA become more restricted under President Trump?
46% chance