Will the US have a (new) homosexual or bisexual president by 2033? | Manifold

Will the US have a (new) homosexual or bisexual president by 2033?

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31

Ṁ1037

2033

17%

chance

1D

1W

1M

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Only counts people who were president between market creation and close. They can be president for any length of time. They must have that orientation while they're president. (Though they don't need to be very forthcoming about it.)

This market closes right after inaguration day 2033.

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Should this already resolve YES? https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/pete-buttigieg-wouldnt-be-americas-first-gay-president/2019/03/26/0b7b1eb4-41de-11e9-922c-64d6b7840b82_story.html

@drevv Wow, this is the quality info I pay prediction markets for.

@drevv Good catch! Description edited to make clear that I only mean new presidents.

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