Will I or my immediate family be the target of an anti-Jewish hate crime before 2027?
Plus
15
Ṁ4172027
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Includes myself, my sister, and my parents. Not any more distant relatives. Only counts instances after market creation.
Must actually be a crime, not mean words. Minor crimes do qualify, as long as they're clearly motivated by anti-Jewish sentiment.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Lorelai Sending me mean words in this market would be neither a crime nor clearly motivated by anti-Jewish sentiment.
Only when they go to synagogue.
bought Ṁ10 NO from 30% to 26%
Related questions
Related questions
Will any Israeli be charged with a war crime by the end of 2024?
39% chance
Will any explicitly leftist, pro-Palastine US organization or individual kill a Jewish person in the US before 2025?
25% chance
Will the amount of anti-jewish hate crimes in 2023 exceed 1,500?
72% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
61% chance
Will the FBI open an investigation into Columbia University related to anti-semitism on campus in 2024?
20% chance
Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded before 2026?
25% chance
Will someone be prosecuted for a hate crime against a digital artificial intelligence in the USA by the end of 2060?
44% chance
Will there be riots involving Jewish / Arab citizens in Israel comparable to the 2021 riots as a result of 10/7 attack?
5% chance
Will the Senate pass the Antisemitism Awareness Act before EOY 2025?
60% chance
Will Hamas conduct a massive terror attack in a U.S. city before 2025?
6% chance