Will humans create a black hole by 2100? | Manifold

Will humans create a black hole by 2100?

Plus

19

Ṁ711

2100

10%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if humans create a black hole before the close date, otherwise resolves no. If it's discovered that human activity in the past has created black holes, such as in LHC collisions, that also counts.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Physics Forecasting

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

predictedNO

what if cosmic rays are constantly creating tiny quantum black holes that instantly evaporate, and LHC did the same thing?

@JonathanRay Should count.

Not betting past 2023, but IMO "No", and the fears of LHC doing so was mostly media-driven.

Current theories predict we are off on the energy density by about 10^18, so even 10x every 10 years will not get us there by 2100.

Will humans create a black hole by 2100?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Not bad @ManifoldDream. Not bad at all.

Related questions

Will we send humans to other stars by 2100?

Will Humans become extinct in 2400?

Will any black hole smaller than 10^12kg and larger than 1kg be discovered or created before 2100?

Will an artificial black hole be created before 2040?

Will humanity survive until 2100?

Will Humans become extinct in 2300?

Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?

Will Humans go extinct by 2200?

Will someone fall into a black hole by 2100?

Will Humans invent immortality by 2100

Related questions

Will we send humans to other stars by 2100?

Will Humans become extinct in 2300?

Will Humans become extinct in 2400?

Will AI create utopia for humans by the year 2100?

Will any black hole smaller than 10^12kg and larger than 1kg be discovered or created before 2100?

Will Humans go extinct by 2200?

Will an artificial black hole be created before 2040?

Will someone fall into a black hole by 2100?

Will humanity survive until 2100?

Will Humans invent immortality by 2100

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules