Will anyone successfully incorporate a light sail into the optical cavity of a laser before 2035? | Manifold

Will anyone successfully incorporate a light sail into the optical cavity of a laser before 2035?

Basic

3

Ṁ67

2035

45%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Inspired by this comment.

The light sail must be one of the mirrors in the laser setup. It must be moved a measurable distance. (Before being destroyed, or not being destroyed at all.)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Clarification: does it need to be a thin foil, or you just want to see a mirror moved by light pressure in a cavity? (E.g. if a bigger mirror is moved by light pressure a measurable amount does that count?)

predictedNO

@Ouroboros It doesn't need to be a thin foil, but it does need "being moved" to be a core purpose of its being.

Related questions

Will there be an orbital laser before 2035?

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2035?

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2045?

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2040?

Will a spacecraft capable of propulsion above 1% the speed of light be achieved before 2040?

Will a human-powered light sail be launched into space before 2040?

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055?

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050?

Will any human-created object reach 1% of light speed before 2033?

Will we be able to create or discover something that surpasses the speed of light by 2051?

Related questions

Will there be an orbital laser before 2035?

Will a human-powered light sail be launched into space before 2040?

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2035?

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2055?

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2045?

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2050?

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2040?

Will any human-created object reach 1% of light speed before 2033?

Will a spacecraft capable of propulsion above 1% the speed of light be achieved before 2040?

Will we be able to create or discover something that surpasses the speed of light by 2051?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules