Will anyone die at least 1000km from Earth before 2030? | Manifold

Will anyone die at least 1000km from Earth before 2030?

Plus

35

Ṁ1589

2030

17%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If it's unknown where exactly the death occurred, there must be a >=50% chance it occurred at least that far away.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

predictedNO

predictedNO

@StevenK This is extremely clever.

In 60 years of spaceflight, there have been a total of thirteen fatal accidents, only one of which occurred "in space". These accidents have been getting less frequent over time. Rate of people going above 1000km also not very high.

Comment hidden

Related questions

Will anyone die at least 100,000km from Earth before 2030?

Will anyone die in space before 2030?

Will a human die in space by 2035?

Will a person die on the moon before the end of 2050?

Will there be a single death due to meteorite before 2100?

Will living humans(or human decentants) reach another star system within 1000 years?

Will someone travel at least 1000km into a star by 2100?

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will any human reach 11 km below the Earth's surface before 2030?

Will anyone be killed by falling space debris before the end of 2032?

Related questions

Will anyone die at least 100,000km from Earth before 2030?

Will living humans(or human decentants) reach another star system within 1000 years?

Will anyone die in space before 2030?

Will someone travel at least 1000km into a star by 2100?

Will a human die in space by 2035?

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will a person die on the moon before the end of 2050?

Will any human reach 11 km below the Earth's surface before 2030?

Will there be a single death due to meteorite before 2100?

Will anyone be killed by falling space debris before the end of 2032?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules