If I play Kung Fu Chess against someone who's rated at least 1800 in regular chess, will I win? | Manifold

If I play Kung Fu Chess against someone who's rated at least 1800 in regular chess, will I win?

Basic

7

Ṁ241

2030

33%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resovles based on the first such game that happens.

I won't collude with them to throw the game, but I might manipulate this market in other ways, like practicing beforehand, or finding an 1800 player who is really bad at Kung Fu Chess.

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My chess rating is about 1400

@IsaacKing For reference, in regular chess playing against someone with a rating difference of 400 would give you about 8% win rate

@AmmonLam Wow, that high? I figured it'd be <2%.

predictedYES

Last time I played an 1800 I was effortlessly crushed.

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Will a publicly available LLM/Agent beat a 2000 rated Elo chess player online rapid chess by March 2027?

Who will be the first chess player to reach 3000 FIDE rating?

When will a Large Language Model beat me at chess?

Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll)

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