Background Recent negotiations between Russia and Elon Musk regarding potential space technology collaborations have been reported. However, no official plans for a visit have been announced.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to YES if Elon Musk physically enters Russian territory (including Crimea and other disputed territories currently controlled by Russia) at any point during the calendar year 2025. The visit must be verifiable through reliable media sources, official statements, or documented evidence such as photos or videos of Musk in Russia.

The market will resolve to NO if:

• Musk does not visit Russia during 2025

• Musk only conducts virtual meetings with Russian officials

• Musk's private jet or other transportation merely passes through Russian airspace without landing

Considerations

• International sanctions and diplomatic relations between the US and Russia could affect the likelihood and feasibility of such a visit

• Given Musk's involvement in providing Starlink to Ukraine during the ongoing conflict, any potential visit to Russia would likely attract significant media attention and potential controversy

• The geopolitical situation and travel restrictions in 2025 may impact the possibility of such a visit