Will Trump End the War in Ukraine Within 90 Days of Taking Office?
Basic
60
Ṁ2976
Apr 21
29%
chance

This poll explores whether President Trump, will bring an end to the ongoing war in Ukraine within the first 90 days of his new term (By 21st-April-2025).

Resolves YES if a verifiable peace agreement or ceasefire is achieved, before or within 90 days of Trump assuming office.

Resolves NO if active conflict continues without a formal resolution or significant de-escalation within the 90-day timeframe following Trump's inauguration.

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Is this market a duplicate? Or are there scenarios where they could resolve differently? https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-trump-end-the-ukraine-war-with

bought Ṁ30 YES

I assume this resolves to YES even if the war ends before he takes office?

@RandallParker Yes, thank you for your point

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