What will be true of a future, simpler version of Apple Vision Pro? [Mega market]
Basic
15
Ṁ1566
2029
95%
Has eye tracking
87%
Has external battery
84%
Has Mac Virtual Display functionality
72%
Comes with only one band, that has a part that goes over the top of your head.
72%
Has built in speakers for audio
66%
Will have a glass front
50%
Sells more than 1 million units in its first year
50%
Priced under $2,000
50%
Has on-device LLM (e.g. through Siri or standalone) integrated
48%
Primarily made of aluminum
38%
Has "Air" in its name
38%
Has an external display (like eyesight)
24%
In consumer hands (anywhere) before April 1st 2025
19%
Is released under another CEO than Tim Cook
18%
Priced under $1000
13%
Will require an iPhone to operate (relies on that for power, compute or storage).
Resolved
N/A
Priced lower than $199
Resolved
N/A
Priced lower than $299

Refers to the first product product that ...
– Is produced by Apple

– Uses VisionOS, or its descendant
– Is "simpler" than a Vision Pro (current 2024 or future versions)
I think and hope defining this won't be hard once it happens. I will change the market name to reflect this change once we know more.

If Apple have not released (in consumer hands) any such product by EOY 2028, this resolves to N/A.

I will not trade in this market.

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Edit: I'm an idiot

@HenriThunberg $300 just seems too cheap to me for an apple headset. I think the closest current product to that price point would be an apple watch SE which is currently $250. A VR headset seems much more complicated (and thus expensive) than that. The quest 3 is even $500, and apple is usually not one to compete at the low end of prices?

Am I missing something?

@Nikos hahaha yes, you're missing the fact that I accidentally left out a zero in a mindblowingly ridiculous lapsus. Will keep as is, as testament no never trusting myself again.

@HenriThunberg Haha! You really had me doubting myself!

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