≥2000 engaged users on Manifold in 2024?
Plus
65
Ṁ84kJan 1
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any single day has at least 2000 Engaged users, e.g. as Jan 31 has 1582 in the below screenshot.
Resolves according to manifold.markets/stats, or official Manifold data that replaces it.
I might bet in this market, as resolution is unambiguous.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@BobLoblaw Same, was extremely hopeful I'm wrong with my bet here. But Polymarket will likely be the king of markets from now on.
Unfortunately this market is quite easy to manipulate using bots/fake accounts, don't want to risk too much mana.
opened aṀ5,000YES at 53% order
@deagol thought we were at 1500 ngl. No insider info. Also YES shares are more valuable than NO shares bc in the worlds where this resolves YES the shares are more likely to be worth money
Related questions
Related questions
How many monthly active Users will Manifold reach before the end of 2024?
Will Manifold break 2000 engaged users by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Manifold have more than 11000 Monthly Active Users at the end of 2024?
17% chance
Will Manifold hit 2,500 active users daily (7d average) in 2024?
16% chance