Will Y. Lecun turn AI doomer by end 2025 ?
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AI doomer : someone who holds pessimistic beliefs about the potential negative impacts of artificial intelligence on humanity's future.
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Isn't his p(doom) 0? Such a brilliant genius must know that no amount of evidence can cause a rational person, even an aspiring one, to move away from a probability of zero.
How does this resolve if it turns out that LeCun is an AI doomer already, and is just lying to protect himself from a future AGI that exterminates people who might want to constrain its development?
@HarrisonNathan For practical reasons let's state that the info must somehow come from himself in a public statement or other trustable revelations/proofs from peers or other.
@Guillaume This was a joke, but the point is that in that case, he would never have "turned" doomer, since he always was one.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
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