SpaceX Starship Flight 7 launch date?
➕
Plus
20
Ṁ2961
2025
79%
Before February 2025
69%
Before Jimmy Carter dies
57%
Before Trump's inauguration
50%
Before all 2024 election votes are counted in California
43%
Day of the month is a prime
27%
During February 2025
16%
During March 2025
10%
During April 2025
7%
May 2025 or later

Launch is interpreted to mean a successful launch from the launchpad. What happens after the launch (explosions, landing, etc) will not affect resolution.

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Ṁ1,000
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Personally not a fan of all the random event-based cut-offs. I guess it's because everyone can suggest answers? I prefer to stick to just dates.

@Mqrius Sorry, the incongruity of there being an option to add answers where no extra answers make sense was too much for me to resist.

@skibidist Extra answers currently make sense for things like "first half of january" for example, cos we have a NET of Jan 11

@Mqrius Trump's inauguration option serves that 🙂

Just to be 100% clear, if the 7th launch is in February 2025, all of the current options resolve No?

@Eliza I forgot to add “during February 2025”. 🤦🏽‍♂️ added now

@GammaLaser You should be able to. Try typing it in the little search bar.

bought Ṁ100 NO

Lol why are these options independent?

@SeekingEternity Because then they can be individually resolved when the month passes, and you can also add more specific answers later without affecting the current ones, like "first half of February", when it becomes relevant.

@Mqrius I had the same question (although I would have worded it different...). Thanks for the great explanation!

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