Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
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Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030. The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.
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So if there's someone that sells quantum computing as a service to 25% of fortune 500 companies, this can still resolve NO if the companies don't own any additional quantum computing hardware of their own, right?
@BoltonBailey Here’s one that’s more like that: https://manifold.markets/GabeGarboden/will-aws-or-azure-offer-quantum-com?r=R2FiZUdhcmJvZGVu
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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