Real can be defined the following:

1) Model Competitiveness: the model scores higher in tests than the latest model of OpenAI. This can be evaluated by papers

2) Market Adoption: Similar to TikTok a ChatGPT like app is released and shows exponential growth in the western world

Define "real".
Could be resolved today as yes, if sufficiently vague;
https://ai.baidu.com/experience (I can't use this)

Deepseek will release 145B MoE in a bit