This market is part of the Humans v Bots Battle 2024, where AI forecasters will duke it out on the most important world questions of 2024. Can you beat the bots and snag part of the 250,000 Mana (~$2.5k) prize?
Remake of https://manifold.markets/johnleoks/uganda-is-the-latest-african-nation, about 2024 instead of 2023.
Ghana may be the country, see that previous market for developments there.
1,000
3.00I've been that focussed on Ghana that I neglected to look at other countries. Burkina Faso appears to have made homosexuality illegal:
From BBC News:
"Burkina Faso's military junta has announced a ban on homosexual acts, making it the latest African state to crack down on same-sex relations despite strong opposition from Western powers.
[...]
Justice Minister Edasso Rodrigue Bayala said the junta's cabinet had now approved legislation to make it a punishable offence, but he did not give further details.
[...]
The new legislation, which still needs to be passed by the military-controlled parliament and signed off by junta leader Ibrahim Traoré, only recognises religious and customary marriages.
"Henceforth homosexuality and associated practices will be punished by the law," the justice minister was quoted by AFP news agency as saying."
This legislation probably gets signed this year if it hasn't already; Burkina Faso won't have the same kind of push back that Ghana has been experiencing.
@vitamind iirc FUTURESEARCH might prefer? to resolve their questions themselves, I interpret this as more like a prediction contest they run
@jacksonpolack They probably would yes, but they don’t appear to be active anymore. Regardless I don’t mind waiting, would just be nice to have mana returned!
Oops, ignore. Bumped to have futuresearch respond
@vitamind Thanks all for your patience. Market remains unresolved.
While Ghana's parliament passed an anti-LGBTQ bill, the president, Nana Akufo-Addo will need to sign the legislation for the law to go into effect. This market will resolve Yes if Ghana's President signs the Human Sexual Rights and Family Values Bill into law before Dec. 31, 2024 (or if another African nation signs another, similar bill into law before end of year).
What the hell is this comment section
Wait I'm an idiot