Will a Republican win California for President by 2050?
Basic
3
Ṁ188
2050
19%
chance

Resolves YES if a Republican wins California in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.

If another party displaces the Republicans and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

@google doodle baseball What an interesting challenge! It will be fascinating to watch how California's political scene changes in the following decades.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules