Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?
15
Ṁ3675
2028
86%
chance

YES if: The FAA has officially modified or repealed regulations (such as 14 CFR § 91.817) that currently prohibit civilian supersonic flight over U.S. land due to sonic boom concerns, and there is no replacement; so that, simply traveling fast is no longer illegal, or, similar changes to this same effect.

Official Sources for Resolution

  • FAA official announcements and regulatory filings.

  • Federal Register updates on aviation rule changes.

  • Congressional records or executive orders explicitly modifying the ban.

  • Major, credible news organizations reporting on a verifiable regulatory shift.

Clarifications

  • A partial repeal counts as a YES if it meaningfully allows routine supersonic flight over U.S. land beyond strictly experimental cases.

  • If there is any uncertainty, the resolution authority (market moderators) will interpret the outcome based on a reasonable understanding of the new rules’ practical impact.

Get
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bought Ṁ1,000 YES

https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/06/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-takes-action-to-lead-the-world-in-supersonic-flight/

"The Order directs the Administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to repeal the prohibition on overland supersonic flight, establish an interim noise-based certification standard, and repeal other regulations that hinder supersonic flight."

Resolves YES, right?

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